The Super Eagles’ hopes of reaching the 2026 World Cup are hanging by a thread – but tonight , everything could change.
As Nigeria face Benin at the same time in Uyo, the other crucial Group C clash sees South Africa host Rwanda. Both games kick off at 17:00, and both will define who reaches next summer’s tournament in the USA, Canada, and Mexico.
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The situation in Group C
After FIFA’s decision to dock South Africa three points for fielding an ineligible player against Lesotho in March, the group has been thrown wide open.
Benin lead the way on 17 points, South Africa sit second on 15, and Nigeria trail just behind on 14. Rwanda, meanwhile, are already eliminated – but their role tonight could be pivotal.
If Rwanda can stop Bafana Bafana from winning, it would blow the group wide open and potentially allow Nigeria to leapfrog both Benin and South Africa, provided the Super Eagles win their own match in Uyo.
Bafana Bafana’s collapse
South Africa have only themselves to blame for this dramatic late collapse. Hugo Broos’ side went into the September international break in control of their destiny but have failed to win either of their last two qualifiers.
After being held to a 1-1 draw by Nigeria and a frustrating 0-0 stalemate against Zimbabwe, their momentum has evaporated – and they must win tonight to keep their qualification dream alive.
South Africa’s Selection Problems
Hugo Broos faces a major selection headache heading into tonight’s must-win clash. Star striker Lyle Foster has been ruled out with injury after pulling up in training, dealing a huge blow to Bafana Bafana’s attack. The Burnley forward has been one of South Africa’s most consistent performers in qualifying and was expected to lead the line against Rwanda.
At the back, Mbekezeli Mbokazi is suspended after his red card against Zimbabwe, leaving Broos short of defensive options. With Siyabonga Ngezana also omitted from the squad, the coach may be forced to shuffle his backline once again – a risky move in such a decisive match.
The absence of these key players has sparked frustration among South African fans, who fear their qualification hopes could slip away at the worst possible moment.
Can Rwanda deliver?
Rwanda’s campaign has already ended, but their motivation couldn’t be clearer. The Amavubi stunned South Africa 2-0 in the reverse fixture last November and would love to repeat the feat, especially knowing it could help knock Bafana out of World Cup contention.
Coach Torsten Spittler has urged his side to end on a high after last week’s 1-0 defeat to Benin ended their hopes of qualifying. Goalkeeper Fiacre Ntwari, who plays club football in South Africa, could be a key figure again – both for personal pride and national pride.
“Redemption in motion” was how the Rwandan FA described their final training session. The tone is clear: they want to leave a mark on this group and remind everyone of their progress.
What Nigeria need
Nigeria’s task is simple but difficult: they must beat Benin, and they need help from Rwanda.
If Rwanda can hold South Africa to a draw – or even better, beat them again – and Nigeria win in Uyo, the Super Eagles could still finish top of Group C and qualify automatically for the World Cup.
But if South Africa win, Nigeria’s qualification chances become dependent on goal difference and results elsewhere, making Rwanda’s performance in Mbombela absolutely vital.
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The verdict
South Africa’s injuries and pressure could play into Rwanda’s hands, especially with the Amavubi’s solid defensive record in qualifying. But Bafana Bafana are playing at home, knowing a win could send them back to the World Cup for the first time since 2010.
